By Jeff Baumgartner; Light Reading ~ Mar 14, 2022
AT&T might want to reconsider a plan to decommission about half of its legacy copper network by 2025, as its wireline network still carries strategic value against AT&T’s mobile rivals, an industry analyst suggests.
AT&T believes the copper assets tagged for retirement carry a cost of $6 billion annually, but “[w]e wonder whether retiring copper assets could be a mistake,” New Street Research analyst Jonathan Chaplin explained in a research note. “The single biggest advantage they have over the national wireless carriers is their large fixed footprint.”
At its analyst and investor day held last week, AT&T execs suggested that DSL subscribers tied into those legacy copper networks could be moved to other products, including fixed wireless. However, New Street Research analyst Jonathan Chaplin suggests that AT&T could instead ramp up fiber buildouts and upgrades to 45 million locations nationwide, and possibly back that strategy with the billions of dollars flowing out of government subsidy programs.
“An integrated fiber and wireless network would go a long way to curing their spectrum shortfall and improving their offering, in markets with fiber,” Chaplin added. “Cable has a place in the endgame by virtue of a nationwide terrestrial network today (far easier to attach spectrum to fiber than build a fiber network under spectrum). AT&T is the next best positioned because they have the largest terrestrial footprint that they can upgrade.”